Late July foliage forecast
Well folks here we go again… I always hope for an easy forecast and Mother Nature throws some wicked curve balls. Right now much of the Northeast is in a drought condition and some of the central to eastern parts of Massachusetts are in serious drought. Some areas of central to western Ma have a bonus gift of millions of gypsy moths eating all the leaves off the trees.
At least not yet and before you read on!
If you already have reservations but you think they might be in the Gypsy moth areas then call a local library or similar business that doesn’t depend on tourism and ask their opinion on the surrounding area. NO! I will not go and check it for you.
For drought areas
Even if we get a rainy August I don’t know if the damage hasn’t been done but you need to keep an eye on the weather in New England. We are going into a period of uncertain weather where spot showers will be falling across New England. (better than nothing)
What may happen…???
I think if you come south into the drought areas you will very likely find color in many areas but it could be spotty or softer colors. it all depends on what August gives us. I’ve never seen a complete washout of a year in the past 15 years and this year is doubtful to be any different. (Translation… It will be one where you have to work for it)
The bright spot for fall colors
Right now the bright spot is northern VT, NH and much of Maine which has gotten more regular rain. So if you were planning on arriving in late Sept to 10-15 Oct then you should already be planning to be in the “safe” zones.
Please remember, in 2012 and 2013 and 2014 and 2015, we were various levels of drought!!! So even though I and the climate prediction folks say severe drought the trees may still put on a show but it may be harder to find it.
Last year severe drought conditions were across much of New Hampshire and I had an incredible show of fall colors in spite of it. What did happen with the elevated temps is that places like Stowe and the Southern White Mountains didn’t peak till around Columbus day instead of a week earlier. Stowe VT is usually the 1st of October and it was the 12th and even then it was just shy of peak color… But damn! it was pretty!!!
The current prognosis
I wish I could say this is a no brainer this year and it will be EASY to find all the fall colors. But Mother Nature is for the most part going to make you and me work for it.
(Please remember I’m not a meteorologist and I’m trying to interpret technical info from NOAA here is their summary for non-technical users but if you are making decisions based on my thoughts alone, please get a second and third opinion before you cancel or change your plans)
Comment to win for July
The winner for July is Jennifer McCoy so send your congrats her way!
If I could figure out how to make everyone a winner every month I would… I know you are just commenting but everyone says such nice things that I wish I could send a gift to everyone!
What is scary is that there will be only three more winners in 2016 and then I’ll be picking the grand prize winner from among the winners. Keep sending in the comments and maybe you will get lucky!
Jeff "Foliage" Folger You can purchase images by visiting my Fine Art Gallery websites
- My Gallery on Fine Art America
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but people call me Jeff Foliage.
I have several pages that I write blogs for such as: http://www.4cornersnewengland.com/
My most popular blog is for Leaf peepers: Jeff Foliage.com.
I live in Salem, Massachusetts and work as a blogger and Travel Photographer. I'm also the founder of the New England Photography Guild.
Feel free to visit me on my blogs and see what life in New England is like.
I started with Yankee Magazine as their first blogger on everything fall foliage. Now I blog on my own blog on my favorite subject, telling leaf peepers where the fall foliage is showing up in New England and helping them (to some extent) plan their fall foliage vacations.