Thoughts on the New England drought
First! Don’t worry be happy! Second, there are always other fall shots to be had.
I’m reading blogs and news reports of the forest services in MA, VT, NH and the general consensus is that depending on where you are this will be a normal fall foliage year or even, above normal year!.
Things to keep in mind!
There are no guarantees when it comes to predictions on what the fall colors will do each year. I know that’s not reassuring because you have laid out big bucks for your fall foliage vacation.
I hear this a lot, “I’m looking for perfect fall colors and if I’m not guaranteed of perfect colors I’m cancelling” (slight paraphrase).My advice for someone like this is simple. STAY HOME! It will never be perfect.
I’ve never seen “perfect” fall color everywhere across an entire region. Have I seen “peak” sure but I’ve seen a lot more days that were filled with wonderful scenes of lakes, streams, and covered bridges ALL with fall colors that don’t come close to the mythical “peak”.
Early fall color being spotted in Maine!
Warning this may alarm some folks!! Angelina Quintanilla sent me these images from Caribou Maine. I’m not worried because this is what I hope to see. If she says the entire town and surround hills are turning next week… then I will stand up and be a little worried.
My fall foliage threshold
If I find 50% of the trees are at full color, I’m happy, If I find 75% of the trees are at full color, I’m ready to have a heart attack. If I do see an area that does look like “peak”, then I’ve died and gone to heaven…
What to do about my plans?
First, don’t worry about the fall colors as much as planning to explore and find all the wonderful things to do in New England. I will constantly tell you that you should plan to have an enjoyable trip and then when you find really great fall colors, you can consider this a bonus.
So… what might we see this fall?
I’m looking at current temps and the 10 day forecast and I’m seeing temps across northern New England at about 4-5 degrees above the average. So in the areas I’m looking (Stowe VT, Dixville Notch NH, and Rangeley ME). Instead of seeing us at 70 and 43 for high and lows I’m seeing 74 and 56 for highs and lows. By the end of Sept I’m guessing that if this doesn’t change we’ll be at the 65/47 for highs and lows instead of 59/37 where these areas should be.
This means to me that unless the temps drop to the lower range it will be delayed by a week or so. There will always be jokers in this process because there are bound to be areas that because of their locations, will drop below the 40s with frost and these areas will jump ahead.
No worries since this seems to happen every year. Certain valleys will see cold drift down from Canada and settle into the low lying areas while the areas around them stay warmer and are slower to progress.
We may get a delay to get started but quick to color up?
I agree with those who say that in drought areas, once they do get going they will quickly reach their full colors and unfortunately they will also drop their leaves quickly. This is the curse of the drought, quick to color up, strong colors because the sugars are concentrated and then quick to drop to create a colorful carpet or red, orange and, yellow.
In areas where the trees are getting more rain, then I think you will see the leaves stay on longer but this will be hit or miss. The further south into Southern VT, NH, ME, you will see more drought and more leave drop, quicker.
Southern CT and RI have had a good bit of rain this summer so they are in pretty good shape. As long as they get the cooler temps.
What about Massachusetts?
Well the good new is that in Massachusetts the trees that were hard hit by gypsy moths are coming back and may even turn color in October. Time will tell how that works out. What I think we will see is either brown going to the ground OR hopefully a quick color up with outstanding colors and then quickly to the ground.
(You have to take what you can get.)
You will need to get in the car and explore and find the great history and scenery that Massachusetts has to offer and hopefully you’ll also get some great color as well. I think there will be color, just not on my street… Lots of brown tinged leaves 🙁
A Facebook post from 2 years ago in August
Early color in August is nothing new!Jeff "Foliage" Folger You can purchase images by visiting my Fine Art Gallery websites
- My Gallery on Fine Art America
- *NEW* We created a new Fall foliage forum
- Join my New England Fall Foliage page on Facebook
- Follow @Foliage_Reports on Twitter
but people call me Jeff Foliage.
I have several pages that I write blogs for such as: http://www.4cornersnewengland.com/
My most popular blog is for Leaf peepers: Jeff Foliage.com.
I live in Salem, Massachusetts and work as a blogger and Travel Photographer. I'm also the founder of the New England Photography Guild.
Feel free to visit me on my blogs and see what life in New England is like.
I started with Yankee Magazine as their first blogger on everything fall foliage. Now I blog on my own blog on my favorite subject, telling leaf peepers where the fall foliage is showing up in New England and helping them (to some extent) plan their fall foliage vacations.