Fall foliage forecast April update
Greetings fall foliage aficionados! The e-mails have been coming in at a steady pace asking for my thoughts and ideas about this autumn and what to do while you’re here. The easy answer to this, is simply, to enjoy yourself. Take long walks or hikes and enjoy the outdoors. So here is my updated fall foliage forecast for 2017.
So here is my updated fall foliage forecast for 2017.
What to look forward to this year?
The drought levels across New England are still with us but with some really good snows in northern New England and a rainy March and April, it means that they are much less of a problem (knock on wood). We haven’t had so far, too many continuous days of rain, so I think tar spot and other moisture related problems are not likely (again knock on wood).
Barring any big storms or other issues the weather can hand us, we should be smiling brightly come October and November. You may notice I didn’t mention Sept… 🙂
Well, that is because we may be heading back into El Nino. It seems we just went into La Nina a year ago but the NOAA climate prediction folks are saying the signs are we may be swinging back to El Nino by July.
What does this mean for the fall colors?
El Nino usually means warmer and drier (as far as I can see) so warmer temps slow the start and progression of the fall colors and that is the bad news. The good side is that drier has a positive effect of increasing the sugars in the leaves and we can get brighter colors and more bright reds.
2013 was a drier year, the colors were slow to show up in the normal patterns but when they did, they came on like gangbusters. BUT! This does not mean that there were no fall colors to be found before 1 Oct.
On 27 Sept 2013, the fall colors were very apparent up in Dixville Notch. (Think waaay north) It wasn’t uniform by anybody’s standard but it was there. Here is a break-of-dawn image where low clouds were floating over the hills and I could just see some wind generators on the hills (wonderful… 🙁 ) But it shows quite clearly that the reds and colors were coming along. Make sure you bring you Delorme Gazetteer, pick it up here!
The colors seemed to me, that they started and then progressed at a slower pace which is good. It means whenever you did show up, you were likely to find fall colors. It also meant there was a lot of green mixed in. But Hey! green is a color, right?
So how to call, this years fall foliage colors?
I would say if I was a betting man, that this will be a very good year for New England fall foliage. It may arrive a little slower but it should also be a little brighter as well… Barring any big storms or September rains every day, again knock on wood!
IMHO, we are looking good so far. I will update you again in June or July with a final forecast before September rolls on in. So what do you think? Yay or Nay? Inquiring minds want to know…
Comment to win for April
The winner for April was Dr. Ronald G. Shapiro. He picked the only mug I had on hand which happened to be a lighthouse which he loved.Jeff "Foliage" Folger You can purchase images by visiting my Fine Art Gallery websites
- My Gallery on Fine Art America
- Try out the new Fall foliage forum
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but people call me Jeff Foliage.
I have several pages that I write blogs for such as: http://www.4cornersnewengland.com/
My most popular blog is for Leaf peepers: Jeff Foliage.com.
I live in Salem, Massachusetts and work as a blogger and Travel Photographer. I'm also the founder of the New England Photography Guild.
Feel free to visit me on my blogs and see what life in New England is like.
I started with Yankee Magazine as their first blogger on everything fall foliage. Now I blog on my own blog on my favorite subject, telling leaf peepers where the fall foliage is showing up in New England and helping them (to some extent) plan their fall foliage vacations.